EMA 12-26 Crossover Strategy (Public) v1
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily rules blend trend and mean‑reversion. If stocks look overheated by RSI, shift to UVXY (volatility). Otherwise, test trends in stocks/tech/treasuries/gold/emerging/volatility, then hold the most short‑term oversold candidate; cash is a fallback.
Each day it first asks: are key stock funds “too hot” by RSI (a 0–100 speedometer of recent gains; >~80 = overheated)? If yes, it buys UVXY, which jumps when market volatility spikes. If not, five modules test trends (12 vs 26‑day EMAs plus 50/200‑day filters) across stocks/tech/treasuries/gold/emerging/vol. Each nominates one fund (or cash). It then holds the single nominee that’s most short‑term “oversold” (lowest RSI). Cash (BIL) is used when checks fail.
Daily, rules-based blend of trend-following and short-term mean-reversion with a UVXY hedge when markets heat up. Out-of-sample: ~55% annualized return vs ~30% for the S&P 500, Calmar ~2.27, Sharpe ~1.01; higher upside, with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179.57% | 15.16% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 352,219.38% | 206.79% | -7.7% | 6.66% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$35,231,938.20Regulatory Fees
$143,501.17
Total Slippage
$1,010,415.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility-hedge, multi-asset rotation, leveraged etfs, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks