Elon's Excellent Adventure
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, cash-equal, multi-asset strategy using short-term momentum signals to rotate among volatility, leveraged tech, hedges, and a TSLA tilt, with bond ballast. High-risk, levered exposure, frequent rebalancing, designed for active management, not long-term buy-and-hold.
- The plan rebalances daily and splits cash equally across all assets that meet its rules.
- It uses RSI (a momentum indicator) on several assets to spot extreme conditions. If RSI(10) on QQQ is above 80, it puts money into UVXY (volatility). If not, it checks RSI(10) on SPY; if that is above 80, it also goes into UVXY.
- If neither QQQ nor SPY signals overbought, it looks for a tech-leveraged opportunity: if the RSI(10) on TQQQ is not above a threshold (i.e., tech appears oversold with RSI < 31), it buys TECL (a 3x leveraged tech ETF).
- There is a TSLA-specific rule: when TSLA’s short-term moving averages indicate an uptrend (8-period EMA above 21-period EMA), it adds TSLA into the mix and also includes a bond position (SHV) for ballast.
- The model also includes other bond/hedge assets (SHV, IEF, PSQ) in the mix, providing potential safety during stress or as part of the equal-weight allocation.
- PSQ provides an inverse-tech hedge, and SHV/IEF act as short-term/medium-term bond ballast.
- The overall aim is to capture momentum in equities and profitable moves in volatility and leveraged tech when conditions are favorable, while capping risk with bonds and hedges.
Out-of-sample, this momentum strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ~1.49 vs SPY ~1.18) and strong Calmar (~2.45), with bond ballast—aiming ~95% annualized return vs SPY’s ~20%; note larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 36,420,763.93% | 143.09% | 0.25% | 4.67% | 2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,642,086,393.22Regulatory Fees
$4,993,876.64
Total Slippage
$35,907,653.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum signals, leveraged etfs, risk management with bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks