Early Works - Total Market Popped 2x
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based swing system that toggles among 2x stock ETFs, inverse ETFs, volatility (UVXY), and short‑term bonds using “too hot/too cold” readings and a quick stress check on the S&P 500.
It splits money across three mini‑systems (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Semiconductors). Each day:
- If a market looks extremely hot, it buys UVXY (jumps when fear/volatility rises).
- If very cold, it buys 2x SSO/QLD/USD.
- Else, if the S&P fell >6% lately, it picks 2x inverse SDS/QID or bonds BSV; if not, it buys the dip in 2x S&P/Nasdaq or holds BSV.
“Hot/cold” is read from faster 3x gauges SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL (not held).
Out-of-sample, ~42% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, via a rules-based risk-on/off mix of leveraged ETFs and hedges. Strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.08; Sharpe ~1.21), but larger drawdowns (~39% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 1.03 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 166,151.45% | 67.27% | -1.76% | -1.85% | 1.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,625,144.92Regulatory Fees
$54,294.90
Total Slippage
$370,383.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical, mean reversion, volatility hedging, us equities, tech/semis, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks