Early Works - Total Market Popped 2x
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based swing system that toggles among 2x stock ETFs, inverse ETFs, volatility (UVXY), and short‑term bonds using “too hot/too cold” readings and a quick stress check on the S&P 500.
It splits money across three mini‑systems (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Semiconductors). Each day:
- If a market looks extremely hot, it buys UVXY (jumps when fear/volatility rises).
- If very cold, it buys 2x SSO/QLD/USD.
- Else, if the S&P fell >6% lately, it picks 2x inverse SDS/QID or bonds BSV; if not, it buys the dip in 2x S&P/Nasdaq or holds BSV.
“Hot/cold” is read from faster 3x gauges SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL (not held).
Out-of-sample: 42.38%/yr vs SPY 20.82%; max drawdown 39.30%; Sharpe 1.21; Calmar 1.08. A rules-based, multi-sleeve strategy across S&P/Nasdaq/semis that captures volatility and mean reversion—greater upside, but larger stress drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 1.04 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 171,917.67% | 67.14% | 3.47% | -0.62% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,201,767.20Regulatory Fees
$55,706.24
Total Slippage
$380,226.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical, mean reversion, volatility hedging, us equities, tech/semis, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks