Early Works - Total Market Popped 2x
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, equal‑weight trio of “pop” bots for S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, and semis. It buys 2× funds on sharp dips, fades overheated moves with a VIX bet (UVXY), and otherwise rotates contrarian among bull, bear, or bonds using a quick drawdown test.
Split equally across three bots: S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, and Semiconductors. Each day it reads a 0–100 “heat gauge” (10‑day RSI) on the 3× version (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL). If very hot (>80) on S&P/Nasdaq, it buys a fear fund (UVXY, tied to VIX). If very cold (<30), it buys the 2× bull fund (SSO/QLD/“USD” for semis). Otherwise it checks if SPY fell >6% in 10 days: in a drop it picks one of QID/SDS/BSV with the weakest reading; in calm it picks among BSV/QLD/SSO. QID/SDS=2× inverse; BSV=bonds. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample upside is compelling: ~42% annualized return vs SPY ~20.8%, with Calmar ~1.08 and Sharpe ~1.21, plus positive alpha. Higher growth potential with disciplined risk controls, but larger drawdowns (~39% vs ~19%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs, volatility timing, mean-reversion, us equities (s&p/nasdaq/semis), bonds, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks