Early Works - Total Market Popped 2x
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based swing system that toggles among 2x stock ETFs, inverse ETFs, volatility (UVXY), and short‑term bonds using “too hot/too cold” readings and a quick stress check on the S&P 500.
It splits money across three mini‑systems (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Semiconductors). Each day:
- If a market looks extremely hot, it buys UVXY (jumps when fear/volatility rises).
- If very cold, it buys 2x SSO/QLD/USD.
- Else, if the S&P fell >6% lately, it picks 2x inverse SDS/QID or bonds BSV; if not, it buys the dip in 2x S&P/Nasdaq or holds BSV.
“Hot/cold” is read from faster 3x gauges SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL (not held).
Out-of-sample: ~38% annualized vs ~21% for the S&P, with Calmar ~0.97 and Sharpe ~1.12. A daily, rules-based 3-system mix of levered longs, inverses, UVXY and bonds seeks higher upside with hedged risk—though drawdowns can be large.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 1.04 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.25% | 15.88% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.96 | |
| 198,762.76% | 67.03% | 5.03% | 14.06% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$19,886,275.95Regulatory Fees
$47,473.75
Total Slippage
$428,477.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical, mean reversion, volatility hedging, us equities, tech/semis, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks