Duo Cycler V2 10.18.23
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A complex, signals-driven investor-cycle that alternates between aggressive, levered growth bets (tech/semis, QQQ/SPY levers) and defense/volatility hedges (UVXY, VIXY, TMF/TMV, bonds, gold). It picks one or few ETFs at a time using momentum, price and RSI rules, then allocates 100% to the chosen basket—often with many such nested rules to decide what to hold next.
- It operates as a two-part cycling system (Duo Cycler) with no automatic rebalancing. One side targets “risk-on” growth exposures (levered tech/semis and high-momentum sectors), the other side targets “risk-off” defense (bonds, volatility, dollar, gold, and cautious equity exposure).
- Within each cycle, signals pick from many baskets. Signals use a blend of indicators and price rules: moving-average trends, exponential moving averages, and RSI (a momentum gauge). For example, if a market indicator like the S&P 500 is deemed extremely overbought, the system may favor volatility bets (UVXY/VIXY) or aggressive hedges; if it’s extremely oversold, it tends to favor ultra-levered long tech/semiconductors (SOXL/TECL, TQQQ, UPRO, SPXL).
- Asset selection is highly granular: each node has ensembles of assets and a rule like “bottom” or “top” with a small sample (usually 1 asset chosen from a list) based on performance screens (moving-average return, cumulative return, or standard deviation). The weighting is almost always full exposure to the selected asset(s) (weight 100/100 in most blocks).
- The universe includes popular and obscure ETFs, including leveraged Bulls (SOXL, TECL, TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO), leveraged Bears (SOXS, SQQQ, UVXY, YCS, SARK), volatility/long volatility (UVXY, VIXY, VIXY signals), crypto-related funds (BITI, BITO), bonds and defense (TMF/TMV, SHY, BIL, AGG, GLD), and international/sector funds (EWZ, EPI, EEM, EFA, QQQ-type exposures).
- The strategy uses a lot of named sub-strategies (ARK Baller, Plaid Inner Baller, See You Tmrw, etc.). Each sub-strategy encodes a cluster of entry rules that select a single instrument or a tiny set, which the master rule then aggregates into the final allocation for the cycle.
- The product is not a simple buy-and-hold: it’s an elaborate, signals-driven oscillator that tries to ride momentum in up cycles and protect (or profit from) volatility during down periods, often taking on substantial leverage and using volatility-related hedges as core ballast. It’s essentially a framework for cycling through many specialized baskets rather than a conventional, single-pass portfolio.
- Important caveats: the depth and breadth of signals create a very complex strategy with many moving parts; it may be sensitive to backtest assumptions, data quality, and look-ahead bias. It relies heavily on ETF performance screens and does not target a standard benchmark. It is not investment advice. Proper risk controls and understanding of leverage/volatility products are essential before attempting to implement such a system.
Dynamic Duo Cycler V2: a rules-based momentum strategy that rotates between risk-on growth and risk-off hedges, offering diversification beyond SPY. OOS: ~16.7% annualized return, Sharpe 0.56, Calmar 0.34; larger drawdowns possible in stressed markets with risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 0.94 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77.95% | 17.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.05 | |
| 14,886.19% | 297.38% | -0.53% | 8.72% | 2.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,498,619.10Regulatory Fees
$12,961.78
Total Slippage
$80,834.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 14, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset strategy, leveraged etfs, volatility hedges, trend and momentum signals, mean reversion, defensive/bond hedges, crypto-related etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 84 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ARKG
ARK Genomic Revolution ETF
Stocks
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
Stocks
ARKQ
ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF
Stocks
ARKW
ARK Next Generation Internet ETF
Stocks
ARKX
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITI
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks