$DS 2x edition with VXX - TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 |138.9%/34.3%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule-based swing strategy targeting ~2x Nasdaq-100. In uptrends it holds ~66% TQQQ + 34% T‑bills; in stress or downtrends it flips to VXX, SQQQ, or TLT. Signals use SPY’s 200‑day trend, short‑term drops, and RSI (0–100). Uses high‑risk leveraged/volatility funds.
1) Decide regime: if SPY is above its 200‑day average, it’s an uptrend; below = downtrend.
2) Uptrend: default ~66% TQQQ + 34% BIL. If prices look overbought (RSI high) or very jumpy, park in VXX or TLT.
3) Downtrend: favor VXX, SQQQ, or TLT; sometimes buy TQQQ on sharp selloffs.
RSI (0–100) gauges recent speed; moving averages show trend.
Out-of-sample: ~2x Nasdaq exposure, 39.7% annualized return vs SPY's 18.3%, and Calmar ~1.07 vs SPY ~0.98 - stronger risk-adjusted gains. Uses regime hedging to navigate markets; note higher drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | 0.56 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 151,232.42% | 146.85% | 0.75% | -6.02% | 2.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,133,241.55Regulatory Fees
$12,214.69
Total Slippage
$83,482.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, leveraged etfs (tqqq/sqqq), nasdaq-100 focus, volatility hedging (vxx), trend + mean reversion, treasuries (tlt), cash (bil)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks