$DS 2x edition with VXX - TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 |138.9%/34.3%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rules-based, tech‑heavy swing strategy using leveraged ETFs. It rides Nasdaq uptrends with TQQQ plus a cash buffer, and switches to SQQQ, Treasuries, or volatility when markets look stretched or shaky, guided by simple “hot/cold” and trend checks.
First, it checks if the market is in an uptrend (S&P 500 above its 200‑day avg).
- Uptrend: mostly 66% TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100: big tech) + 34% BIL (T‑bills). If the Nasdaq looks overheated (RSI = a 0–100 “hot/cold” score) or after sharp drops, it briefly flips to SQQQ (3x inverse) or VXX (volatility).
- Downtrend: gets defensive, rotating among SQQQ, TLT (long Treasuries), VXX, or buys TQQQ only when very oversold. Signals use RSI, recent % moves, and moving averages.
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-100 strategy targets ~40% annual returns vs ~18% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.07 and Sharpe ~1.02. It uses hedges and a cash buffer to capture higher upside with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.29% | 13.1% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.73 | |
| 147,171.63% | 145.05% | -0.16% | -1.23% | 2.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,727,163.00Regulatory Fees
$12,214.69
Total Slippage
$83,482.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, tactical allocation, nasdaq-100 focus, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks