$DS 2x edition with VXX - TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 |138.9%/34.3%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Feb 8, 2026)
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About
A rules-based plan that rides uptrends with 66% TQQQ/34% T‑bills, buys only very deep dips, and hedges or shorts when moves look overheated or jumpy—rotating among TQQQ, SQQQ, TLT, BIL, and VXX/UVXY using trend, “overbought/oversold,” and volatility cues.
Check if the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day avg. If yes: default 66% TQQQ + 34% BIL; after big weekly drops buy deep dips, but short (SQQQ) or use VXX/TLT when rallies look overheated or volatility spikes. If no: buy TQQQ only when very oversold; otherwise use SQQQ/TLT/VXX per volatility and short‑term trend.
TQQQ=3x Nasdaq; SQQQ=−3x Nasdaq; TLT=long Treasuries; BIL=T‑bills; VXX/UVXY=volatility. RSI=0–100 “hot/cold” gauge.
Out-of-sample: ~39.7% annualized return vs SPY ~18.3%; Calmar ~1.07, Sharpe ~1.02. Higher upside with larger drawdowns (~37% vs ~19%), delivering standout growth potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | 0.56 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180.34% | 13.69% | -0.17% | 3.34% | 0.76 | |
| 151,758.11% | 148.84% | -5.31% | -3.16% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,185,810.57Regulatory Fees
$12,214.46
Total Slippage
$83,482.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, tactical, trend + mean-reversion, volatility hedge, treasuries, rules-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks