Drawdown Hedge - (Kyle's Mod 3x - Fund Surf 3x)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A tactical, drawdown-protected, multi-asset strategy using 3x levered ETFs for upside in uptrends and layered hedges (UVXY, BIL, bear ETFs) to limit losses, plus a Nasdaq dip play and oil/bond hedges for diversification.
The strategy is a rule-based system that aims to amplify gains in rising markets while limiting losses in downturns. It watches for signs of overextension or regime shifts using simple indicators and performance screens, then rotates among a set of leveraged long bets (e.g., SPXL, TQQQ, TMF) and protective hedges (UVXY, SQQQ, SPXU, BIL, DBO, PSQ). A Nasdaq-specific dip-playline adds a tactical tilt to tech exposure during favorable short-term conditions. A separate oil/bond hedge layer diversifies risk beyond equities. The overall flow is: (1) detect favorable regimes and go long with leverage; (2) detect risk signals or drawdowns and move into hedges; (3) use volatility and safety assets (UVXY, BIL, TMF, etc.) to cushion drawdowns; (4) occasionally deploy targeted tilts (Nasdaq dip, oil/bond) to capture additional edges. This is a high-frequency-style, tactical approach, not a buy-and-hold strategy, and it relies on active monitoring and disciplined risk controls due to the use of leverage and complex hedges.
Looks to deliver ~23% annual returns like the S&P, but with a diversified, tactical 3x-leveraged core and hedges that lower beta (~0.7) and cushion drawdowns. Upside in trends, but tail risk remains regime-dependent.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, drawdown hedge, multi-asset allocation, volatility hedges, risk-on/risk-off, tactical trend following, diversified hedging, sector/commodity hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks