Drawdown Hedge - (Kyle's Mod 3x - Fund Surf 3x)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical, crash‑hedged strategy that rotates among 3x stock funds, Treasuries, T‑bills, oil, and volatility hedges. It uses simple signals (RSI, moving averages, recent returns) to go risk‑on in uptrends and defensive or inverse in downtrends.
RSI = a 0–100 “speedometer” of recent moves. EMA = a smoothed average price.
1) If stocks look extremely hot or fear (UVXY) is spiking, it hedges with UVXY or uses mild shorts/bonds (PSQ/BSV).
2) If the S&P’s trend looks healthy, it rotates: 3x S&P + some 3x Treasuries (else T‑bills), 3x Nasdaq after strength (skip if a huge 1‑day pop), and Oil when rising (else T‑bills).
3) If trend is weak, it goes defensive: T‑bills, hedged longs, or 3x inverse funds.
Similar long-run gains (~23% annualized) with crash hedges and multi-asset rotation. Diversifies across stocks, Treasuries, oil, and volatility hedges to protect capital in downturns while pursuing uptrends—an edge over SPY. Caveat: higher drawdowns in crises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 126,730.15% | 64.58% | 6.21% | 8.24% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,683,014.70Regulatory Fees
$49,186.99
Total Slippage
$336,295.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, trend/momentum, equities, treasuries, oil
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks