Drawdown Hedge - (Kyle's Mod 3x - Fund Surf 3x)
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
Layered drawdown hedge: reacts to froth/panic with a volatility hedge or shorts; if S&P 500 trend weakens it shifts to cash/T‑Bills or inverse ETFs; otherwise runs a 3× risk‑on mix across S&P, Nasdaq, and an oil sleeve. Uses leveraged funds; high risk.
Rules: 1) Shock: if stocks look overheated (a quick “heat” score, RSI), buy volatility (UVXY). If vol is surging, use short Nasdaq (PSQ) or short‑term bonds (BSV).
2) Trend: if S&P 500 weakens (below 10‑day avg or long‑term score), go defensive with 3× inverse ETFs (SQQQ/SPXU) or T‑Bills (BIL).
3) Else go risk‑on: ~40/30/30 in 3× S&P (SPXL + some 3× Treasuries, TMF), 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ unless a 1‑day spike), and Oil (DBO) when up.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher upside (29.3% vs 22.7% S&P) with lower beta (~0.69) and hedges across stocks, bonds, and oil. Aims for risk-managed growth; drawdowns can be larger in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709.17% | 15.16% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.93 | |
| 163,513.94% | 64.82% | 2.19% | 1.47% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,361,393.91Regulatory Fees
$44,251.79
Total Slippage
$400,396.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + momentum, volatility hedge, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, us stocks, treasuries, t‑bills cash, oil/commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks