Drawdown Hedge - (Kyle's Mod 3x - Fund Surf 3x)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive market-timing strategy that rotates between leveraged stock funds, oil, bonds, cash-like T-bills, and crash hedges based on whether the market looks strong, weak, or unusually volatile.
This strategy constantly asks: “Is the market calm, overheated, or falling?”
If conditions look extreme, it may buy UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when fear spikes. Otherwise it checks the broad U.S. market. In strong periods, it spreads money across aggressive stock funds, sometimes tech and oil. In weak periods, it may hide in Treasury-bill funds, short-term bonds, or even funds that rise when stocks fall.
Out-of-sample edge: ~28.8% annualized return vs S&P ~21.9%, with dynamic stocks and oil hedges. Higher upside but larger drawdowns (~39% vs ~19%). Suited for growth seekers who tolerate bigger swings and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719.04% | 15.08% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 168,707.17% | 64.25% | -2.38% | 5.49% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,880,716.95Regulatory Fees
$45,534.04
Total Slippage
$407,402.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, bear market hedge, momentum, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks