Double Crossed, A SPY Story l 29 October 2007
Today’s Change (Jun 24, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based on/off switch between SPY and cash‑like T‑bills. It buys SPY on deep dips or when bond markets hint at easing stress, and moves to T‑bills when SPY is overheated or short‑term volatility spikes.
It toggles between SPY (stocks) and BIL (T‑bills). If SPY is very hot (RSI, a 0–100 “heat” score, > 91.5) or markets are stormy (high 5‑day choppiness), it hides in BIL. If SPY is very cold (RSI < 26.5), it buys SPY. Otherwise it asks bonds for clues: if bonds beat cash (3‑month strength) or short Treasuries beat SPY (6‑week strength), it buys SPY; else BIL.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats SPY on risk-adjusted terms: Sharpe ~1.53 vs ~1.33, annualized ~21.19% with similar drawdowns (~18.76%). Beta ~0.73 means less market sensitivity, delivering equity upside with steadier risk control via SPY/BIL switches.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623.88% | 11.11% | -2.01% | 12.22% | 0.63 | |
| 1,774.44% | 16.88% | 2.08% | 7.3% | 1.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$187,443.98Regulatory Fees
$538.46
Total Slippage
$4,835.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, rule-based timing, rsi/mean reversion, volatility filter, us equities vs t-bills, macro bond signals, risk management