Diversification For The Long Term (No K-1 & SQQQ Edit)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based, ETF/ETN-based strategy that diversifies across U.S. and global stocks, volatility hedges, and Treasuries. Uses trend (200-day MA) and momentum (short-term RSI) signals to allocate to SPY, VT, SPXL, TQQQ, SQQQ, VXX, and TLT, with cash as a default, aiming for long-term growth while managing risk through hedges and diversification.
- Start with 100% cash. Every trading day, run a series of rules to decide what to hold.
- If the market shows positive trend (SPY above its 200-day moving average), the system leans toward equities (SPY, VT) and, when signals allow, levered bets (SPXL, TQQQ) to pursue higher upside.
- If momentum or volatility signals become extreme (for example high RSI readings on levered ETFs like TQQQ or on the VXX, which tracks volatility), the rules steer toward risk-off positions: cash, hedges (VXX, SQQQ), or safer exposure (TLT for Treasuries, and VT for global diversification).
- The VXX and SQQQ pieces act as hedges or defensive ballast when volatility spikes or when overbought signals appear on levered ETFs.
- VT gives a broad, globally diversified equity sleeve, helping reduce single-country risk.
- SPY provides a US market anchor; SPXL and TQQQ offer amplified exposure when conditions are favorable; SQQQ offers a reverse exposure hedge when risk is high.
- The allocation is rebalanced daily, and the engine uses a nested set of if-else decisions to decide which asset(s) to own at any moment.
- The overall objective is long-term growth with diversified risk, while avoiding K-1 issues by sticking to ETFs/ETNs; but be aware levered ETFs can magnify losses and require careful risk tolerance.
Out-of-sample edge: ~21.6% annualized vs ~19.4% for the S&P, achieved with rule-based trend/momentum shifts, hedges, and global diversification. Calmar ~1.02; solid risk-adjusted performance; drawdowns ~21% but upside potential is higher.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | -0.26 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.29% | 13.1% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.73 | |
| 15,152.39% | 85.46% | -2.92% | 2.7% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,525,239.10Regulatory Fees
$2,241.39
Total Slippage
$15,289.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 24, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Long-term diversification, multi-asset, etf/etn-based, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type