Diversification For The Long Term (No K-1 Edit)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Own global stocks most of the time. When an uptrend looks overheated, switch to volatility (VXX). In downtrends, use Treasuries (TLT) only if weakness isn’t yet washed out; otherwise stay in VT. Signals checked and rebalanced daily.
Tickers: SPY=S&P 500 gauge; VT=global stocks; TQQQ/SPXL=3x “thermometers”; VXX=volatility that jumps on selloffs; TLT=long US Treasuries. Indicators: RSI=0–100 heat score; Moving average=average price over X days.
Daily rules:
- If SPY > 200‑day avg: hold VT unless TQQQ RSI>79 or SPXL RSI>80, then hold VXX.
- If SPY ≤ 200‑day: if TQQQ RSI<31 or SPY RSI<30, hold VT; else if TQQQ < 20‑day avg, hold TLT; otherwise VT.
Out-of-sample AR ~31.5% vs S&P ~19.4%, with lower drawdown (~9.5% vs ~16.6%) and stronger risk metrics (Sharpe ~1.76, Calmar ~3.32). Daily rebalanced, global exposure with downside hedges to protect upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.29% | 13.1% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.73 | |
| 1,897.82% | 44.48% | -2.92% | 2.7% | 1.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$199,782.27Regulatory Fees
$291.69
Total Slippage
$1,958.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 24, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Global equity core, tactical trend/mean reversion, volatility hedge (vxx), treasury hedge (tlt), daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total