Dip Buying Tech Below 10d RSI of 30 using XLP as the "cash" position and XLK as the "tech" etf to backtest through the dot com crash
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Holds SPY in uptrends. When the market weakens, it buys tech (XLK) only after a sharp dip signaled by QQQ’s 10‑day RSI < 30; otherwise it parks in consumer‑staples (XLP). Checked daily; backtested since 1999.
Each day: 1) If SPY (S&P 500 fund) is above its 200‑day average, hold SPY. 2) If it’s below, check QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) RSI over 10 days. RSI is a 0–100 gauge of how fast price fell/rose; under 30 = a sharp drop. If QQQ’s RSI < 30, buy XLK (tech sector). Otherwise hold XLP (consumer‑staples) as a steadier, cash‑like spot. Starts 1999.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P 500 on a risk-adjusted basis: ~26.5% annualized return vs ~22.5%, ~11% max drawdown vs ~19%, and higher Sharpe/Calmar. Trend-following tech-dip rotation lowers risk while boosting upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 764.19% | 8.35% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.51 | |
| 4,087.78% | 14.9% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$418,777.89Regulatory Fees
$714.97
Total Slippage
$4,441.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities, trend filter (200-day), rsi dip-buying, sector rotation, technology, consumer staples, daily rebalancing