[Dilbert] PROD PORTFOLIO (USD replacement)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that gets aggressive in strong markets and defensive in weak ones, rotating among leveraged tech/stock funds, hedges, bonds, gold, the dollar, and KMLM.
This strategy first asks a big question: is the U.S. stock market in an uptrend or a downtrend?
If uptrend, it runs aggressive short-term trading rules focused on tech, semiconductors, the S&P 500, volatility products, and a defensive diversifier called KMLM. If downtrend, it shifts to a more balanced mix of stocks, bonds, gold/commodities, real estate, and the U.S. dollar.
It constantly checks recent trend, overheating, and market stress before switching.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~33% vs ~16% for the S&P, with Sharpe near 1 and low beta (~0.61) for diversification. Higher upside in uptrends and solid risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.01). Note drawdowns can be larger in stress periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 0.46 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.74% | 16.84% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.03 | |
| 3,850.13% | 131.44% | -4.55% | 12.85% | 2.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$395,012.72Regulatory Fees
$1,885.03
Total Slippage
$14,652.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged equity, volatility trading, managed futures, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 121 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
BA
Boeing Company
Stocks
BIB
ProShares Ultra NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks