developing: low beta low stdev
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily rules: if tech looks overheated, park mostly in T‑Bills with a volatility hedge. Otherwise, use an S&P trend check to choose a defensive or pro‑risk ETF basket, sizing positions toward the least volatile holdings.
Each day it asks two questions. 1) Is tech (VGT) very “hot” on a 10‑day RSI (a short‑term hotness gauge)? If yes, go defensive: about 66% in T‑Bills (BIL) and 34% in a volatility hedge (VIXY). 2) If not, is the S&P 500 (SPY) below its ~5‑month average? If below: hold calmer defensive ETFs—VHT (healthcare), VDC (staples), GLD (gold), UPP (US dollar). If above: hold calmer pro‑risk mix—UUP, VGT/XLK (tech), VHT, VCR (consumer), VGK (Europe). Calmer assets get more weight.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers higher risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ~1.13 vs ~0.90) and far smaller drawdowns (~8% vs ~19%), delivering steadier, capital-preserving growth versus the S&P 500’s larger swings.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.37% | 13.78% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 764.95% | 15.33% | 0.09% | 0.13% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$86,495.49Regulatory Fees
$284.48
Total Slippage
$1,522.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 9, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend filter, risk parity, volatility hedge, multi-asset etfs, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
Stocks
VDC
Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF
Stocks
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
VHT
Vanguard Health Care ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks