developing: low beta low stdev
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, risk‑managed ETF strategy: hedge hard when tech looks overheated, otherwise use the S&P 500 trend to switch between defensive and growth baskets, sizing positions by recent volatility for a smoother ride.
Each day it makes three choices:
1) If US tech is extremely overheated short term (using a fast momentum gauge on VGT), it hides in T‑Bills (BIL ~66%) plus a volatility hedge that jumps when markets drop (VIXY ~34%).
2) Else if the S&P 500 (SPY) is below its 112‑day average, it holds defensive assets—health care (VHT), consumer staples (VDC), gold (GLD), and the US dollar (UUP).
3) Otherwise it holds growth‑tilted assets—tech (VGT/XLK), consumer discretionary (VCR), Europe stocks (VGK), plus the US dollar (UUP). Position sizes are set by recent volatility: calmer assets get bigger weights.
Out-of-sample edge: stronger risk-adjusted return and much smaller drawdowns than the S&P 500. Sharpe ~1.13 vs ~0.90; Calmar ~1.20; max drawdown ~8% vs ~19%; lower beta means smoother, downside-protected growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590.61% | 13.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 749.38% | 15.15% | -1.7% | -0.79% | 1.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$84,937.99Regulatory Fees
$286.20
Total Slippage
$1,533.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 9, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching etf rotation, risk-parity sizing, trend-following, volatility hedge, defensive, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VCR
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF
Stocks
VDC
Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF
Stocks
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
VHT
Vanguard Health Care ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks