Dev- Wolf_V0 // Bitcoin Signal -> DOW long+short V2
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Uses Bitcoin’s trend as a risk switch. If Bitcoin trends up, own the more active of SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow). Otherwise, either short stocks via SH/DOG (inverse funds) or sit in T‑Bills (BIL). Rebalanced daily.
1) Signal: Bitcoin via GBTC. If its 50‑day avg price > 200‑day, go risk‑on: buy the U.S. index fund with higher 200‑day volatility: SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow 30).
2) Else: If SPY’s 15‑day avg > 250‑day, short via the inverse fund stronger over ~10 days: SH (−1x S&P) or DOG (−1x Dow).
3) Else: hold BIL (T‑Bills). Rebalanced daily.
Crypto-driven risk-switching strategy uses Bitcoin trend to tilt toward SPY/DIA in up markets and inverse ETFs or cash in down markets. Lower beta (~0.92) and Calmar ~0.51 offer diversified, risk-adjusted exposure beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310.34% | 15.07% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 606.31% | 21.45% | 3.51% | -0.26% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$70,630.91Regulatory Fees
$82.09
Total Slippage
$510.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, crypto-driven signal, u.s. large-cap equity, inverse equity etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total