Bitcoin-driven long/short equity strategy: if BTC signal is bullish, go long the best of DIA or SPY by volatility; if BTC signal is bearish, short via DOG or SH using RSI if SPY shows uptrend; else park in BIL. Rebalances daily.

High level view for a layperson: 1) The system is driven by a Bitcoin signal (GBTC). It first checks whether Bitcoin looks to be in an uptrend by comparing GBTC's short-term average price to its longer-term average. If Bitcoin looks strong, the strategy goes fully into long US stocks, choosing between two broad market ETFs. 2) If Bitcoin doesn’t look strong, the strategy shifts to a hedged/defensive stance. It evaluates SPY’s momentum. If SPY is in an uptrend (short-term momentum > long-term momentum), it takes a short position using one of two inverse ETFs that profit when the market falls (DOG for Dow exposure, SH for S&P 500 exposure). The choice between DOG and SH is made by a simple momentum screen over the last 10 days (RSI). 3) If SPY isn’t showing the desired momentum, the strategy parks money in BIL (short-term Treasuries) as a safe haven rather than taking stock exposure. 4) All decisions are made daily (daily rebalancing) and the code follows a cash/equal-weight style: when a branch is chosen, essentially the available capital is allocated to the selected asset within that branch. The result is a long/short equity stance that is driven by Bitcoin signals with a built-in risk check via volatility (for long bets) and RSI momentum (for shorts). Key components explained for non-specialists: - GBTC: a trust that tracks Bitcoin price exposure. - DIA: Dow Jones industrials ETF (broad U.S. large-caps). - SPY: S&P 500 ETF (another broad U.S. large-cap exposure). - DOG / SH: inverse/“short” ETFs that gain when the Dow or S&P 500 fall. - BIL: a short-term U.S. Treasuries ETF (cash-like safety). Bottom line: If Bitcoin looks strong, go long the big U.S. stock market (one choice only). If Bitcoin looks weak, look for a short opportunity in the big indexes, but only if SPY also shows momentum; otherwise park in safe Treasuries. Daily rebalancing keeps the positions aligned with these rules.

Bitcoin-driven, rules-based long/short with daily rebalancing and cash hedges. Out-of-sample: ~9.5% annualized return, ~18.8% max drawdown—comparable to SPY—while delivering diversification and disciplined risk controls beyond the S&P 500.