Dev- Wolf_V0 // Bitcoin Signal -> DOW long+short V2
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Uses Bitcoin’s trend as a risk switch. If Bitcoin trends up, own the more active of SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow). Otherwise, either short stocks via SH/DOG (inverse funds) or sit in T‑Bills (BIL). Rebalanced daily.
1) Signal: Bitcoin via GBTC. If its 50‑day avg price > 200‑day, go risk‑on: buy the U.S. index fund with higher 200‑day volatility: SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow 30).
2) Else: If SPY’s 15‑day avg > 250‑day, short via the inverse fund stronger over ~10 days: SH (−1x S&P) or DOG (−1x Dow).
3) Else: hold BIL (T‑Bills). Rebalanced daily.
Crypto-driven regime switching tilts to the strongest equity exposure or cash/inverse bets, aiming for risk-managed upside. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.57 with drawdowns similar to the S&P—offering diversification and risk control vs a pure S&P 500 hold.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 334.74% | 15.58% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.9 | |
| 571.05% | 20.63% | -7.85% | -3.43% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$67,105.31Regulatory Fees
$91.63
Total Slippage
$566.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, crypto-driven signal, u.s. large-cap equity, inverse equity etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total