Dev- Wolf_V0 // Bitcoin Signal -> DOW long+short V2
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Bitcoin is the on/off switch. If its trend is up, own the more volatile of SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow). Otherwise, short the weaker index via SH or DOG when stocks trend up, or sit in BIL (T‑Bills) when they don’t. Rebalanced daily.
Daily, Bitcoin guides risk.
- If GBTC’s 50‑day average price is above its 200‑day average, buy the more volatile of SPY (S&P 500) or DIA (Dow).
- Else, if SPY’s 15‑day average beats its 250‑day, short via the inverse fund with the higher 10‑day RSI: SH (−1x S&P) or DOG (−1x Dow).
- Else, hold BIL (T‑Bills).
RSI = recent up‑vs‑down strength; higher = stronger.
Bitcoin-driven, daily-rotation strategy: long SPY/DIA on BTC uptrends; switch to inverse ETFs or cash on BTC downturns. Out-of-sample: 9.5%/yr, max drawdown 18.76%, Sharpe 0.57, Calmar 0.51 — diversification and risk control beyond SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316.78% | 15.3% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.89 | |
| 591.98% | 21.28% | 0.77% | -1.35% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$69,198.41Regulatory Fees
$82.09
Total Slippage
$510.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,equity index rotation,inverse etfs,tactical allocation,crypto signal,risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total