Dereck The Bond Whisperer | 11JUN2023
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Aggressively rides tech via 100% 3x‑long Nasdaq (TQQQ) when conditions look healthy, but switches to 80% T‑Bills (BIL) + 20% 3x‑short Nasdaq (SQQQ) when “too hot” signals appear. Uses a QQQ 50/200‑day trend filter and simple RSI heat checks.
Trend: If QQQ’s 50‑day average price is above its 200‑day, treat it as an up‑trend; otherwise, down‑trend.
Heat check (RSI = 0–100 “hot/cold” score): compare 7–10y Treasuries (IEF) to PSQ (short tech) in up‑trends, or to QLD (2x long tech) in down‑trends.
If that check, or SPY’s 7‑day RSI>69, says “too hot,” go defensive: 80% BIL (T‑Bills)+20% SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq). Otherwise go aggressive: 100% TQQQ (3x long Nasdaq).
Out-of-sample: 24.19% annualized return vs S&P 500’s 21.43%, with higher alpha potential. A risk-on/risk-off regime aims to ride tech rallies and defend on heat signals. Note: drawdowns can be large in extreme markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 20,888.92% | 39.49% | 3.58% | -0.37% | 0.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,098,892.32Regulatory Fees
$9,322.58
Total Slippage
$57,199.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum, nasdaq 100, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks