Dereck The Bond Whisperer | 11JUN2023
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based switch between offense and defense using Nasdaq trend and momentum vs Treasuries. Offense: TQQQ (+3x Nasdaq). Defense: 80% BIL (T‑bills) + 20% SQQQ (−3x Nasdaq). Uses moving averages and RSI to avoid buying into hot or weak markets.
1) Trend: is Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) in an uptrend? We compare its 50‑day average price to its 200‑day; above = uptrend. 2) Momentum: compare 20‑day RSI (a 0–100 speed/overbought gauge) of Treasuries (IEF) to a Nasdaq proxy (PSQ = −1x QQQ if trend up; QLD = +2x QQQ if trend down). 3) If that Nasdaq proxy beats IEF, or the S&P 500 (SPY) is overheated on 7‑day RSI >69, go defensive: 80% BIL (T‑bills) + 20% SQQQ (−3x QQQ). Otherwise go offensive: TQQQ (+3x QQQ).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher annualized return (~24.2% vs ~21.4% for SPY) with stronger upside capture and explicit risk controls. Note: potential drawdowns around ~64% require suitable risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739.88% | 14.2% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 20,765.38% | 39.53% | -5.52% | 1.55% | 0.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,086,537.68Regulatory Fees
$9,195.38
Total Slippage
$56,363.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,tactical allocation,nasdaq-heavy,leveraged etfs,treasuries,risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks