[DEPRECATED] V2 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | Commodities
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-driven “surfing” strategy. When fear is moderate, buy the most recently beaten‑down fund from a tech/market list; when fear spikes, rotate into 3x long/short long‑Treasuries (TMF/TMV), occasionally taking short, fast mean‑reversion trades in stocks/commodities.
It watches UVXY, a fund that jumps when market fear rises. RSI is a 0–100 recent‑moves gauge: low=weak, high=hot.
If fear isn’t extreme (UVXY 20‑day RSI<70), it buys 1 fund with the lowest ~1‑month RSI from big US stock funds and 3x tech/market funds (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO), or SHY (short‑term Treasuries).
If fear is high, it holds 3x long/short 20+yr Treasuries (TMF/TMV), picking the steadier one by 5‑day drawdown. If both are calm, it buys the 2 lowest 1‑week RSI across stocks and commodities (DBC=broad, DBA=ag).
Out-of-sample edge: about 46% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22%, driven by regime-switching mean-reversion and a Treasury hedge in fear. Expect higher volatility and potential drawdowns—size your risk capital accordingly.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 2.24 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.48% | 14.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 1,133,318.99% | 91.77% | -4.3% | 0.06% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$113,341,898.77Regulatory Fees
$428,397.79
Total Slippage
$3,054,275.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, mean-reversion, rsi filter, leveraged etfs, us equities (tech tilt), treasuries (long/short), commodities, volatility filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks