[DEPRECATED] V1.1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | 2x
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-mode, leverage-enabled tactical strategy that alternates between oversold equity/tech/stock funds (via RSI) and levered 7–10 year Treasuries, switching based on short-term volatility and drawdown signals, backtested to 2009.
Every day: (1) compute RSI over 20 days for SHY, SPY, QQQ, QLD, SSO; (2) pick the asset with the lowest RSI (the “most oversold” looking asset) and invest 100% in that asset (levered ETFs included). This is the Fund Surfing (2x) mode. Separately, check market volatility on SPY using the 10-day standard deviation of returns. If volatility is not too high, stay in Fund Surfing; if volatility is high, switch to the Treasury Bonds Selector. In Treasury mode, evaluate 7-10 year levered ETFs TYD (Bull 3x) and TY0 (Bear 3x); choose the one with the smaller 5-day max drawdown (risk) and invest 100% in that. The setup is designed to ride rebounds in oversold funds when risk is moderate and to pursue levered bond bets in riskier times, using leverage to magnify moves.
Two-mode, 2x leveraged strategy that rides oversold equities and levered Treasuries. Out-of-sample annualized return ~35.5% vs S&P ~22%; Calmar ~0.88 suggests solid risk-adjusted potential, with disciplined risk despite higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 971.65% | 15.1% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.9 | |
| 23,680.17% | 38.31% | -2.29% | -6.04% | 1.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,378,016.67Regulatory Fees
$9,055.81
Total Slippage
$54,506.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, leverage, multi-asset, risk-controlled backtest
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type