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[DEPRECATED] V1.1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | 2x
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A two-mode, leverage-enabled tactical strategy that alternates between oversold equity/tech/stock funds (via RSI) and levered 7–10 year Treasuries, switching based on short-term volatility and drawdown signals, backtested to 2009.
NutHow it works
Every day: (1) compute RSI over 20 days for SHY, SPY, QQQ, QLD, SSO; (2) pick the asset with the lowest RSI (the “most oversold” looking asset) and invest 100% in that asset (levered ETFs included). This is the Fund Surfing (2x) mode. Separately, check market volatility on SPY using the 10-day standard deviation of returns. If volatility is not too high, stay in Fund Surfing; if volatility is high, switch to the Treasury Bonds Selector. In Treasury mode, evaluate 7-10 year levered ETFs TYD (Bull 3x) and TY0 (Bear 3x); choose the one with the smaller 5-day max drawdown (risk) and invest 100% in that. The setup is designed to ride rebounds in oversold funds when risk is moderate and to pursue levered bond bets in riskier times, using leverage to magnify moves.
CheckmarkValue prop
Two-mode, 2x leveraged strategy that rides oversold equities and levered Treasuries. Out-of-sample annualized return ~35.5% vs S&P ~22%; Calmar ~0.88 suggests solid risk-adjusted potential, with disciplined risk despite higher drawdowns.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, leverage, multi-asset, risk-controlled backtest
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TYO
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSSO. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 28.22%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 40.37%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.