[DEPRECATED] V1.1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | 2x
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Aggressive wave-rider: when stocks are calm, buy the most “oversold” big‑stock fund (or its 2× version). When markets get jumpy, trade 3× Treasury bond bull/bear funds, choosing direction from short‑term moves.
1) It first checks if the stock market (S&P 500) is calm (low 10‑day choppiness).
• If calm: buy the “coldest” fund (lowest 20‑day RSI, a simple hot/cold meter) from SPY/QQQ (big US stocks), SSO/QLD (their 2× versions), or SHY (short‑term Treasuries).
• If jumpy: switch to 7–10yr US Treasury bonds using 3× ETFs—TYD (bull) or TYO (bear)—and pick a side using a short‑term drawdown test (which one just fell hardest). Hold 100% until the signal flips.
Out-of-sample returns ~35.5% vs S&P 22.3%, with oos Sharpe ~1.16 and Calmar ~0.88. A regime-switching, leveraged strategy that targets stock upside in calm markets and shifts to bonds in volatility, offering higher growth and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 997.44% | 15.29% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 24,917.86% | 38.82% | 0.96% | -4.86% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,501,786.06Regulatory Fees
$9,055.81
Total Slippage
$54,506.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility switch, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, us equities, us treasuries, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks
TYO
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks