[DEPRECATED] V1.1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | 2x
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets, buy the big US stock fund (or its 2x version) that just fell the most; in choppy markets, flip to 3x Treasury bond funds and buy the side that just slumped, aiming for quick rebounds. High risk due to 2x/3x leverage.
Big idea: surf short‑term swings.
- If stocks are calm, pick 1 fund from SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq‑100), SSO/QLD (their 2x versions), or SHY (short‑term Treasuries) that has the lowest “RSI” (a score of recent up vs down days). Low RSI = just fell; buy for a bounce.
- If stocks are jumpy, switch to TYD/TYO (3x up/down 7–10yr Treasuries) and buy the side that just dropped most over ~1 week, aiming for a rebound.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~29% vs SPY ~22%, with a positive Sharpe (~1.01) and regime-driven diversification: calm markets favor leveraged equities, volatility favors 3x Treasuries. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns (~40%) and higher beta.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 1.29 | 0.6 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,102.48% | 15.62% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.93 | |
| 26,069.97% | 38.4% | 6.11% | 12.07% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,616,997.21Regulatory Fees
$7,529.52
Total Slippage
$57,764.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, mean reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, us equities, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type