[DEPRECATED] V1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical “surfing” strategy: when fear is contained, buy the one fund (often tech/leveraged) that looks most sold‑off; when fear is high, switch to a leveraged Treasury long/short trade, picking the side that just dropped. High risk; 3× funds swing fast.
First it checks market stress using UVXY, a volatility (“fear”) ETF. If UVXY’s 20‑day RSI (a 0–100 recent‑heat score) is below 70, it buys 1 fund from a menu (SPY/QQQ/SHY and 3× tech/market funds) with the lowest RSI (most sold‑off). If stress is high, it flips to bonds: between TMF (3× long 20+yr Treasuries) and TMV (3× short), it buys the one that fell most over 5 days, aiming for a bounce. If both seem calm, it holds SPY.
Out-of-sample edge: ~45% annualized return vs SPX ~22%, with regime-switching between contrarian equity picks and leveraged Treasuries. Higher upside but extreme drawdowns and lower risk-adjusted Sharpe—suitable only for high risk tolerance.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, treasuries, tech-heavy equities, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks