[DEPRECATED] V1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets, buy the single fund in a tech/growth‑heavy list that looks most “oversold.” When markets get turbulent, rotate into leveraged long/short long‑term Treasury funds, choosing the side that just dropped the most, aiming for a bounce. High risk due to 3x ETFs.
Step 1: Check market “turbulence” using UVXY’s 20‑day RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold score). If it’s below 70, pick exactly one fund—the one with the lowest 20‑day RSI—out of SPY/QQQ (big US stocks), TQQQ/UPRO/TECL/SOXL (3x tech/semis), or SHY (short‑term Treasuries). If UVXY is 70+, switch to bonds: between TMF (3x long 20‑yr Treasuries) and TMV (3x short), buy the one that fell most over 5 days (biggest peak‑to‑trough drop); if both were calm, hold SPY.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~45% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, using regime-driven rotations between equities and long-duration bonds to capture reversals. Strong upside but with substantial drawdown risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility regime switching, tactical rotation, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, equities vs treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks