[DEPRECATED] V1 | Fund Surfing | Michael B
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical “surfing” strategy: when fear is contained, buy the one fund (often tech/leveraged) that looks most sold‑off; when fear is high, switch to a leveraged Treasury long/short trade, picking the side that just dropped. High risk; 3× funds swing fast.
First it checks market stress using UVXY, a volatility (“fear”) ETF. If UVXY’s 20‑day RSI (a 0–100 recent‑heat score) is below 70, it buys 1 fund from a menu (SPY/QQQ/SHY and 3× tech/market funds) with the lowest RSI (most sold‑off). If stress is high, it flips to bonds: between TMF (3× long 20+yr Treasuries) and TMV (3× short), it buys the one that fell most over 5 days, aiming for a bounce. If both seem calm, it holds SPY.
Fear-driven, regime-switching strategy with higher upside than the S&P 500. Out-of-sample return ~27.95% vs SPY ~22.36%, via shifts between leveraged equities and 3x Treasuries. Higher return comes with greater drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.45 | 2.24 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.05% | 15.32% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.94 | |
| 872,918.18% | 85.19% | -10.93% | -7.71% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$87,301,818.08Regulatory Fees
$280,002.49
Total Slippage
$2,663,635.28
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, treasuries, tech-heavy equities, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks