Defensive Portfolio
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based plan: buy 2× Nasdaq on deep dips, hide in bonds when tech is overheated, and otherwise sit in defensive sectors plus long Treasuries.
Each day it checks how “hot or cold” the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) has been using a 0–100 speed gauge (10‑day RSI). If very hot (>75), it moves 100% to an investment‑grade bond fund (VBF). If very cold (<30), it goes 100% into a 2× version of QQQ (QLD). Otherwise it splits 25% each into Consumer Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU), Health Care (XLV), and long U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample performance shows this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted terms: Sharpe ~4.56 vs ~2.53, annualized return ~36.28% vs ~30.34%, and max drawdown ~1.09% vs ~2.53%. A disciplined daily risk-off/risk-on rotation protects capital and captures upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692.27% | 11.12% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.64 | |
| 6,960.84% | 24.21% | 8.1% | 10.57% | 1.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$706,084.24Regulatory Fees
$2,703.95
Total Slippage
$14,266.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 3, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum & mean reversion, sector rotation, defensive, etf rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks