Defensive Portfolio
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A defensive strategy that uses big-tech market momentum as a signal: hide in bonds when tech looks overheated, buy a leveraged Nasdaq fund after sharp drops, and otherwise hold steady defensive sectors plus Treasuries.
This strategy watches QQQ, a popular fund full of big tech and growth stocks. It uses a simple “too hot / too cold” meter based on QQQ’s last 10 days.
If QQQ looks too hot, it moves to bonds. If QQQ looks too cold, it buys QLD, a fund that tries to move about twice as much as QQQ. Otherwise, it spreads money evenly across consumer staples, utilities, health care, and long-term U.S. government bonds.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 2.44 vs 1.19, 43.6% annual return vs 15.8% for the S&P, and lower drawdown (8.46% vs 8.89%). A defensive-tech rotation aimed at steadier, higher risk-adjusted growth versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.43 | 0.65 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788.13% | 11.33% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.65 | |
| 8,644.82% | 24.58% | 16.69% | 12.08% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$874,482.18Regulatory Fees
$2,701.11
Total Slippage
$16,671.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 3, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, defensive rotation, mean reversion, sector rotation, bond hedge, leveraged etf
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks