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Darpa Super Simple V1.5 + Darpa Low Drama Mama v1.9
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A 2-rule, 50/50, daily-rebalanced strategy using RSI-driven signals to rotate between a volatility hedge (UVXY) and a pool of leveraged tech/semiconductor ETFs, plus risk-minded asset picks (bonds/gold). Aims for low drawdown with opportunistic upside in leveraged themes; backtested since 2011.
NutHow it works
- The portfolio is split 50/50 between two rule sets (Darpa Super Simple V1.5 and Darpa Low Drama Mama v1.9) that rebalance daily. - Each half runs its own signal logic to select assets from pools of ETFs, including volatility (UVXY), leveraged tech/semiconductor ETFs (SOXL, TECL, TQQQ, ROM, USD, etc.), and other theme ETFs. - Rule set A (Darpa Super Simple) uses RSI on QQQ with a short window. If RSI(QQQ,5) is above a high threshold (overbought/extreme), it tilts into UVXY. Otherwise it picks the two assets with the lowest RSI from a list of leveraged tech/semiconductors/healthcare ETFs, aiming for a contrarian moment when momentum is fading. - Rule set B (Darpa Low Drama Mama) also watches RSI signals but on a different window; if RSI(QQQ,9) is above 81 it buys UVXY. If not, it looks at a secondary condition involving UUP (dollar index ETF) based on RSI(SPY,19). If that condition isn’t met, it then selects the two assets with the smallest max drawdown (risk-based selection) from a pool that includes bonds and gold proxies plus leveraged/defensive ETFs. - Within each half, assets are weighted evenly. The two halves’ exposures are combined to form the final portfolio, rebalance daily. - The overall goal is to limit drawdown while capturing upside from leveraged moves in tech/semiconductors and timely hedges via UVXY, with supplementary defensive ballast (bonds and gold). - Important caveats: RSI and max-drawdown screens are historical/performance-based signals; leverage magnifies losses; past results depend on data quality and backtesting assumptions.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns and smaller drawdowns than the S&P 500. oos return ~44% vs ~16%; Sharpe ~1.52 vs 0.91; max drawdown ~13.7% vs 18.8%; Calmar ~3.22. Daily rebalance across UVXY hedges, leveraged tech, and bonds/gold.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Diversified etfs, leveraged/volatility exposure, momentum/rsi signals, risk-aware, drawdown control, tactical allocation, backtested
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DGP
DB Gold Double Long ETN due February 15, 2038
Stocks
MINT
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
RXL
ProShares Ultra Health Care
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toUPW, RXLandQLD. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 37.66%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 13.66%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.