D-Fence v3.0 (@K) 13|14|2007
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily‑rebalanced, risk‑aware portfolio: 80% flips between a defensive mix (cash, bonds, managed futures, defensive sectors) and an offensive mix (SPY/QQQ, sometimes SSO) using simple trend signals. 20% always buys two oversold safe assets.
80% is a tactical core, 20% a safe/oversold sleeve.
Risk check (moving average = recent average price): if SPY < 50‑day or QQQ < 200‑day or HYG (junk bonds) < 50‑day → Defensive: split that 80% across T‑bills (BIL), quality bonds, managed futures (DBMF), and defensive sectors (XLV/XLU/XLP).
Else → Offense: that 80% holds SPY/QQQ 50/50; if SPY rose >6% in 20 days, add leverage via SSO (2× S&P).
RSI = recent up vs down moves; the other 20% buys the two lowest‑RSI picks. Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers superior risk control vs SPY: lower drawdowns (0.75% vs 1.41%), beta ~0.16, and strong risk-adjusted return (Calmar ~4.1) via diversification and disciplined trend signals.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201.59% | 16.09% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.86 | |
| 150.34% | 13.2% | -0.28% | -2.32% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,034.22Regulatory Fees
$144.04
Total Slippage
$801.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, risk management, sector rotation, managed futures, bonds, defensive equities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks