D-Fence v2.0 (@K) 10|14|2007
Today’s Change (Oct 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based portfolio that goes defensive (T‑bills, bonds, managed‑futures, defensive sectors) when markets weaken; otherwise holds SPY+QQQ, adding a small 2× S&P (SSO) boost after a strong month. Rebalanced daily.
Each day it looks for warning signs: if the S&P 500 or Nasdaq fall below recent average prices, or if high‑yield bonds (HYG) weaken, it shifts to a defensive mix: 20% T‑bills (BIL), 20% bond funds (BND/IEF/TLT/VCIT), 20% managed‑futures (DBMF), 40% defensive sectors (XLV/XLU/XLP). If no warnings, it holds SPY+QQQ; after a very strong month (S&P ~20‑day gain >6%), it adds a small 2× S&P slice (SSO). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns with far smaller drawdowns than SPY: Sharpe ~5.28 vs 1.51, annualized return ~16.39% vs 15.64%, Calmar ~21.4. Defensive risk-off plus momentum-driven upside capture.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.42% | 15.79% | -0.91% | 3.54% | 0.85 | |
| 116.88% | 10.98% | 1.59% | 0.71% | 0.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,688.02Regulatory Fees
$109.59
Total Slippage
$508.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, defensive sectors, bonds/cash, managed futures, leverage overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VCIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks