D-Fence v1.2 (@K) 29 | 19 | 2020
Today’s Change (Oct 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily trend switch: when major US stock indexes weaken, it moves mostly to T‑Bills with hedges (managed‑futures and small inverse stock positions) and a small bond mix; when trends are healthy, it owns the S&P 500 (SPY).
Each day it checks the long‑term trend: if SPY or QQQ is below its 200‑day average (a simple “is the market weak?” line), it switches to a defensive mix: ~80% BIL (T‑Bills), ~10% DBMF (managed‑futures), ~10% PSQ/SH (short Nasdaq/S&P), plus a small bond slice (BND, IEF, TLT, VCIT). Otherwise it holds SPY. Rebalanced daily.
Strong risk-adjusted edge: similar upside to SPY (~13.15% vs 13.26%), but with lower risk from a trend-driven defensive mix (T-bills, managed futures, inverse hedges). Out-of-sample Calmar ~6.47; daily rebalancing protects capital.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.42% | 15.79% | -0.91% | 3.54% | 0.85 | |
| 132.05% | 11.99% | -0.91% | 3.54% | 0.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$23,205.25Regulatory Fees
$21.51
Total Slippage
$93.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 10, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, risk-on/off, defensive, managed futures, inverse-hedge, bonds, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VCIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks