D-Fence v1.0 (@K Roth) 29 | 19 | 2020
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that owns aggressive U.S. stock funds in good times, but switches to a diversified defense mix when major indexes weaken and defensive stocks take the lead.
This strategy asks one big question each day: is the stock market healthy or unhealthy?
If healthy, it owns a mix of major U.S. stock funds, including some extra-aggressive ones that amplify market moves.
If unhealthy, it shifts into a defense mix: very short-term Treasury funds, one bond fund, a managed-futures fund (DBMF), and 2 hedges such as inverse stock funds or volatility exposure.
Diversified, trend-following strategy that switches to defense in weak markets and hedges risk. Out-of-sample: 3.02% annualized vs SPY’s 13.30%; higher drawdown and lower risk-adjusted return—best as a volatility-diversifying SPY complement.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.89 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181.2% | 17.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.06 | |
| 382.22% | 28.14% | -1.14% | 3.05% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$48,221.91Regulatory Fees
$81.43
Total Slippage
$307.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 28, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, defensive rotation, hedging, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
RSP
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
Stocks
RWM
ProShares Short Russell2000
Stocks