Crypto Runner RL
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily crypto-on/off rotation. If bitcoin is strong, own the single hottest crypto proxy. If weak, own one non‑crypto pick: EM bull/bear or a U.S. trend/vol/cash choice. Decisions use price vs averages and RSI “heat” scores. Uses 3× ETFs; high risk.
Daily, it first asks: is bitcoin up lately? If BITO (a bitcoin ETF) rose >~0.5% over 13 days, it holds exactly one crypto‑linked name (miners like RIOT/MARA, MSTR, GBTC, BITO, or leveraged BTC/COIN funds), picking the hottest over 2 days. If not, it picks one non‑crypto: either EM bull/bear (EDC/EDZ) or a U.S. choice (SPY/TQQQ/TECL/UPRO, VIXY, or T‑Bills BIL) using trend (price vs 200‑day average) and RSI, a 0–100 “heat” score of recent moves. Uses 3× ETFs; very volatile.
Out-of-sample: 13.1% annualized return with positive risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe 0.55, Calmar 0.30) from a crypto-on/off rotation. Diversifies beyond the S&P and targets crypto-driven upside with defined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 2.41 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.57% | 19.4% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 1.24 | |
| 12,368.37% | 509.2% | 7.38% | -25.51% | 2.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,246,836.63Regulatory Fees
$7,148.19
Total Slippage
$42,641.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto rotation, tactical allocation, momentum/trend, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITX
2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks