COST + UNH or Not
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A cautious strategy that usually holds Costco and UnitedHealth, but moves to Treasury bills when tech or bond markets look stressed. It only takes a temporary leveraged tech trade after a sharp selloff.
This strategy mostly does one of three things: own Costco and UnitedHealth, sit in short-term Treasury bills (BIL), or briefly buy leveraged tech after a sharp selloff.
It uses fast-moving tech funds and bond funds as warning signals. If markets look overheated or unstable, it moves to BIL. If conditions look calm, it holds COST and UNH, giving a bit more weight to the steadier one.
Out-of-sample edge: ~47.98% annualized return with a 1.25 Sharpe and 2.04 Calmar—far stronger risk-adjusted upside than SPY. A defensive COST/UNH core with tech-timing aims for bigger gains with disciplined risk versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.76 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830.14% | 14.32% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.87 | |
| 36,909.87% | 42.61% | 10.56% | 8.67% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,700,987.37Regulatory Fees
$10,809.41
Total Slippage
$95,769.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive, tactical, regime-switching, concentrated, cash-management, mean-reversion, trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks