Convertible Securities ETF Momo as A Leading Risk Metric
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A very active market-timing strategy that treats convertible bonds as an early risk alarm, then shifts between defensive assets and aggressive bets in commodities, bonds, and stock sectors.
This strategy uses CWB, a fund of convertible bonds, as an early warning signal for market stress. If CWB weakens, it shifts toward defense: gold, currency hedges, insurance, and low-risk stock exposure. If CWB stays healthy, it becomes aggressive and rotates among natural gas, oil, bonds, tech, healthcare, and financials using short-term trend, volatility, and rebound signals.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.69 vs ~1.08, annualized return ~24.93% vs ~18.06%, max drawdown ~9.81% vs ~18.76%, Calmar ~2.54, and beta ~0.36—delivering higher risk-adjusted growth with smaller downside than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651.89% | 14.72% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.91 | |
| 3,286.61% | 27.1% | 1.55% | 7.49% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$338,661.25Regulatory Fees
$1,689.25
Total Slippage
$11,818.09
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 31, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, macro, commodities, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 56 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks