Convertible Securities ETF Momo as A Leading Risk Metric
Today’s Change (Nov 6, 2026)
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About
A very active market-timing strategy that treats convertible bonds as an early risk alarm, then shifts between defensive assets and aggressive bets in commodities, bonds, and stock sectors.
This strategy uses CWB, a fund of convertible bonds, as an early warning signal for market stress. If CWB weakens, it shifts toward defense: gold, currency hedges, insurance, and low-risk stock exposure. If CWB stays healthy, it becomes aggressive and rotates among natural gas, oil, bonds, tech, healthcare, and financials using short-term trend, volatility, and rebound signals.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.71 vs S&P 0.91; annualized return 25.1% vs 14.8%; max drawdown 9.8% vs 18.8%; beta 0.34; Calmar 2.56. Higher upside with lower risk and low market beta—strong diversification vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615.12% | 14.28% | -5.62% | -4.09% | 0.89 | |
| 3,326.91% | 27.11% | 3.41% | 6.37% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$342,691.37Regulatory Fees
$1,693.45
Total Slippage
$11,848.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 31, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, macro, commodities, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 56 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
SPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology -2x Shares
Stocks
BTAL
AGF Investments Trust - AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
CWB
SPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund - Common units of beneficial interest
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund - Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest
Stocks
DUG
ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets -2x Shares
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust - ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Markets -1x Shares
Stocks