[COMPLEX] Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + v4 Pops - K-1 Free - Longer Backtest
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules‑based blend: ride trends with 3x stock/bond mix when calm, buy dips after 5‑day drops, and fade overbought tech/semis or buy them after selloffs. Parks in T‑bills when signals are risky. Uses UPRO, TQQQ, TMF, BIL, TECL/TECS, SOXL/SOXS.
It blends three ideas and checks them daily: 1) Core: in calm uptrends, own 3x S&P (UPRO) and 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) with 3x long bonds (TMF); else sit in T‑bills (BIL). 2) Buy sharp 5‑day dips in QQQ/SPY (TQQQ/UPRO), but don’t chase 1‑day pops >5%. 3) When tech/semis are too hot (overbought), take short‑term contrarian shorts (SOXS/TECS); when too cold (oversold), buy TECL/SOXL. Bond and volatility checks gate risk. Very aggressive.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~52.7% vs S&P ~22.1%, driven by a rules-based daily blend that captures trends and dips while parking in cash when risk rises. High upside with built-in risk gates; note larger drawdowns are possible.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.45 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.27% | 21.26% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.35 | |
| 415.23% | 66.96% | -5.73% | -20.4% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,523.36Regulatory Fees
$208.39
Total Slippage
$1,314.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, volatility targeting, u.s. equities, treasuries, daily trading
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks