Commodities/Bonds - Weekly
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A weekly, regime‑switching strategy that flips between all‑in 3x Nasdaq, a volatility‑balanced mix of 3x tech/semis/financials/long Treasuries, a defensive gold/dollar/bond basket, and—rarely—an all‑commodities tilt when commodities surge fast.
Weekly, it chooses a “regime.” If short‑term bonds look fine, it goes all‑in 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ). If bonds are weak, it first checks for a big commodity surge; if yes, it piles into commodities/miners. Otherwise it uses a switch: when markets look damaged, it holds mainly gold, the US dollar, and long Treasuries; when they look OK, it holds a volatility‑balanced mix of 3x Nasdaq, semis, financials, and long Treasuries. Calmer assets get bigger weights.
Adaptive weekly regime strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns. OOS Sharpe 1.89 vs SPY 1.45; OOS annualized return 98.8% vs 23.3%; Calmar 2.79. Higher drawdowns (~35% vs ~19%), but notably higher upside with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.84 | 0.54 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131.03% | 14.6% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.77 | |
| 1,502.04% | 57.08% | 8.9% | 26.11% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$160,204.24Regulatory Fees
$196.15
Total Slippage
$1,169.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 16, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk parity, leveraged etfs, commodities, bonds, momentum, volatility targeting, weekly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks