Commodities Framework
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving strategy that tries to catch rebounds in leveraged U.S. stocks, but rotates into commodities, gold, bonds, the dollar, or managed futures when market conditions look weaker or more defensive.
This strategy checks the market every day and jumps between three main themes: aggressive U.S. stocks, commodities, and defenses like gold, Treasury bonds, the U.S. dollar, or managed futures.
It uses RSI, which is just a “how stretched has price been lately?” gauge. Very low RSI means “recently beaten up,” so it may buy for a bounce. Very high RSI means “too hot,” so it may move into a volatility hedge.
When stock trends look healthy, it often buys extra-aggressive funds tied to the S&P 500, Nasdaq, or semiconductor stocks. When conditions weaken, it rotates into commodity funds, gold, long Treasury trades, a strong-dollar fund, or DBMF, a fund that follows market trends across futures.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.38 vs 1.30; annualized return 40.5% vs 20.2%; Calmar 2.01. A daily-rotating blend across leveraged equities and hedges (commodities, gold, bonds, managed futures) delivering higher risk-adjusted growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.77 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.86% | 16.25% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.87 | |
| 6,661.21% | 77.26% | -2.73% | 17.54% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$676,121.49Regulatory Fees
$1,834.00
Total Slippage
$13,003.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 16, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, commodities, gold, treasuries, managed futures, volatility hedge, daily rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks