Commodities Framework
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based mix that chases brief equity rebounds with 3x ETFs and, when conditions are weaker, rotates to commodities, gold, Treasuries, the US dollar, or managed futures. Uses simple price signals; can be very volatile due to leverage.
Each day it chooses between short, sharp stock rebounds and defense using a simple price speedometer. After dips it buys 3x stock ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL). If stocks look overheated it briefly holds a volatility spike hedge (UVXY). Otherwise it checks bonds vs stocks and commodities vs the US dollar: if commodities trend it buys PDBC; if not, it rotates to gold (GLD), Treasuries (TMF/TMV), the dollar (USDU), or a trend fund (DBMF). Calmer assets get larger weights.
Out-of-sample edge: ~38% annualized return vs ~21% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.37, Calmar ~1.90. Higher growth with disciplined risk via diversified, rules-based use of levered ETFs and hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0.77 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.75% | 15.23% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 4,970.16% | 78.71% | 5.32% | 23.35% | 2.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$507,015.59Regulatory Fees
$1,811.26
Total Slippage
$10,538.73
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 16, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum/rsi, trend-following, commodities tilt, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, managed futures, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks