Commodities Framework
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rotation that rides strong stock trends with 3x ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL) and, when momentum fades, shifts to commodities (PDBC), gold (GLD), Treasuries (TMF/TMV), the US dollar (USDU), or managed futures (DBMF) using RSI “heat” gauges.
Daily, rules-based. Uses RSI (0–100 heat gauge: >50 uptrend, >80 hot, <30 washed-out). If S&P/Nasdaq/semis are strong, hold 3x ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL); if too hot, hedge with UVXY; if washed-out, buy the dip. If stocks cool, pivot to commodities when they beat the US dollar (PDBC); otherwise use gold (GLD), Treasuries (TMF/TMV), the dollar (USDU), or managed futures (DBMF), favoring steadier picks. Stock–vs–bond and bond-trend checks steer the path.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~38% annualized return and ~1.37 Sharpe (Calmar ~1.90) vs S&P ~21% and ~1.32. A disciplined, multi-asset rotation chases trends in equities and diversifies into commodities, bonds, USD, and managed futures for higher risk-adjusted growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 0.77 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166.33% | 15.68% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.83 | |
| 4,847.33% | 78.61% | 4.85% | 11.62% | 2.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$494,732.74Regulatory Fees
$1,771.95
Total Slippage
$10,285.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 16, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,tactical asset allocation,commodities,leveraged etfs,risk-on/risk-off,managed futures,gold,treasuries,us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks