Commodities and Bonds - 04 Sep 2009
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A 50/50 tactical strategy: one half trades between Nasdaq stocks and long Treasury bonds, while the other half rotates among commodities, gold, bonds, the dollar, bond-shorts, and T-bills based on market strength and short-term pullbacks.
This strategy splits money into 2 halves.
One half is usually in QQQ (big tech/growth stocks like the Nasdaq-100), but moves to long-term Treasury bonds when the stock market gets too jumpy or too overheated.
The other half rotates among commodities, gold, long bonds, a fund that benefits when long bonds fall, the U.S. dollar, or very short-term T-bills. It first checks which area has been stronger over the last ~100 days, then often buys the one that has dipped most over the last 10 days.
Out-of-sample strategy: 50/50 stocks vs macro diversifiers. Delivers higher risk-adjusted return (OOS Sharpe 1.62 vs SPY 1.30), higher OOS annual return (21.83% vs 20.36%), and notably lower max drawdown (12.18% vs 18.76%), with Calmar 1.79.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 942.32% | 14.69% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 2,616.14% | 21.3% | -0.99% | 6.52% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$271,614.48Regulatory Fees
$952.21
Total Slippage
$7,181.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, macro, momentum, mean reversion, stocks, bonds, commodities, gold, dollar, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks